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# Will AI replace surgeons?

Updated October 2026

Orthopedic surgeons score 29 of 100 for AI exposure. The largest share of their task time, 53%, is work AI speeds up while they stay in charge. AI can take over 7% outright, and 40% stays with people.

-   **7%** AI can do it
-   **53%** AI helps
-   **40%** Needs a person

Low exposure

Lower than 64% of the 923 occupations we scored.

## Task by task

We graded 15 tasks, listed here from most to least exposed. AI can do 1 of them today, speeds up 8 and leaves 6 to people.

| Task | AI exposure |
| --- | --- |
| Prepare case histories. Ambient scribes and LLMs can draft case histories from notes. | 70% AI can do it |
| Manage surgery services, including planning, scheduling and coordination, determination of procedures, or procurement of supplies and equipment. AI can draft schedules and procurement lists; managers decide. | 55% AI helps |
| Analyze patient's medical history, medication allergies, physical condition, and examination results to verify operation's necessity and to determine best procedure. Synthesizes history and exam data; surgeon still decides necessity. | 45% AI helps |
| Order and interpret the results of laboratory tests and diagnostic imaging procedures. AI reads imaging and suggests lab workups; physician confirms results. | 40% AI helps |
| Prescribe preoperative and postoperative treatments and procedures, such as sedatives, diets, antibiotics, or preparation and treatment of the patient's operative area. Order sets and decision support help; prescribing stays accountable. | 40% AI helps |

## How orthopedic surgeons compare

All occupations (923)

Healthcare practitioners and technical (89)

**Orthopedic surgeons score 29**, marked by the dark line. Each dot is a score, darker where more occupations share it. The short marks show the averages, 37 for all occupations and 34 for healthcare practitioners and technical.

## Pay and outlook in the US

Median pay

$358,550 a year, May 2025

People employed

14,100 in the US, May 2025

Projected change in jobs

+4.0% from 2024 to 2034

## Skills to build

-   Draft and sign off case histories in Epic Systems
-   Check AI-drafted orders and imaging reads in EMR software
-   Plan implant placement in image-guided surgery software
-   Perform hands-on fracture repair and joint reconstruction surgery
-   Lead operating room teams through live case coordination
-   Hold board certification from the American Board of Orthopaedic Surgery

## Safer roles nearby

3 related occupations with lower scores.

-   [Anesthesiologists28 out of 100](https://www.aigentcy.com/ai-exposure/anesthesiologists/)
-   [Oral surgeons14 out of 100](https://www.aigentcy.com/ai-exposure/oral-surgeons/)
-   [Anesthesiologist assistants19 out of 100](https://www.aigentcy.com/ai-exposure/anesthesiologist-assistants/)

## Questions about orthopedic surgeons and AI

Will surgeons be replaced by AI?

Partly. About 3 in 10 working hours go to tasks AI can already do, mostly preparing case histories and scheduling surgery services. Physical surgery, patient examination and leading the operating room team stay with surgeons because they need a person in the room.

Which orthopedic surgeon tasks is AI taking over?

Preparing case histories has an exposure score of 70, the highest in this job. Ambient scribes and LLMs can draft histories from notes, and AI can draft surgery schedules and procurement lists for managers to approve.

Which orthopedic surgeon tasks stay human?

Operating on the musculoskeletal system scores 2 for exposure, the lowest in this job. Surgery on living tissue needs a surgeon's hands, and following surgical technique in the operating room scores 3. Examining patients and leading live teams also stay human, scoring 10 and 15.

How do orthopedic surgeons stay valuable as AI spreads?

Keep operating hands-on, since surgery is the least exposed task. Check every AI-drafted case history in Epic Systems or MEDITECH before signing. Use image-guided surgery software for implant planning, and lead the operating room team through live case coordination.

## Related jobs

-   [Urologists34 out of 100](https://www.aigentcy.com/ai-exposure/urologists/)
-   [Physiatrists35 out of 100](https://www.aigentcy.com/ai-exposure/physiatrists/)
-   [General internal medicine physicians44 out of 100](https://www.aigentcy.com/ai-exposure/general-internal-medicine-physicians/)
-   [Medical assistants32 out of 100](https://www.aigentcy.com/ai-exposure/medical-assistants/)

## Next steps for orthopedic surgeons

-   ### Check your job
    
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### Check which roles in your team AI can take on

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-   [**How we score AI exposure**The grading, the weights and every source.](https://www.aigentcy.com/ai-exposure/methodology/)

Occupation data from the O\*NET 30.3 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA), used under [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) and modified by Aigentcy. O\*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. Wage, employment and projection data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. EU occupation names from ESCO, European Commission. AI usage signals from the Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY) and Microsoft Research (CC BY 4.0). [Methodology and sources](https://www.aigentcy.com/ai-exposure/methodology/). Scores © Aigentcy. Quote them with a link to the page.
