Will administrative law judges be replaced by AI?

Updated

Administrative law judges score 54 of 100 for AI exposure. The largest share of their task time, 72%, is work AI speeds up while they stay in charge. AI can take over 20% outright, and 8% stays with people.

  • 20% AI can do it
  • 72% AI helps
  • 8% Needs a person
540100

High exposure

Higher than 83% of the 923 occupations we scored.

Task by task

We graded 14 tasks, listed here from most to least exposed. AI can do 3 of them today, speeds up 10 and leaves 1 to people.

TaskAI exposure
Schedule hearings. Hearing calendar scheduling is routine and well suited to software automation.80% AI can do it
Review and evaluate data on documents, such as claim applications, birth or death certificates, or physician or employer records. Reading and extracting from claim files and records is core AI strength.75% AI can do it
Research and analyze laws, regulations, policies, and precedent decisions to prepare for hearings and to determine conclusions. AI legal research and precedent retrieval is strong; a person checks results.70% AI can do it
Prepare written opinions and decisions. AI can draft opinions well, but judge must review, revise, and sign.60% AI helps
Explain to claimants how they can appeal rulings that go against them. AI can draft plain-language appeal rights notices; judge reviews them.60% AI helps
Conduct studies of appeals procedures in field agencies to ensure adherence to legal requirements and to facilitate determination of cases. AI can review procedures and documents for compliance; analyst interprets findings.60% AI helps
Authorize payment of valid claims and determine method of payment. Payment calculation is rule-based, but authorization stays with the official.55% AI helps
Recommend the acceptance or rejection of claims or compromise settlements according to laws, regulations, policies, and precedent decisions. AI can apply rules to draft recommendations, but a judge must decide.55% AI helps
Determine existence and amount of liability according to current laws, administrative and judicial precedents, and available evidence. AI can draft liability analysis, but the judge decides and is accountable.45% AI helps
Rule on exceptions, motions, and admissibility of evidence. AI can research evidence rules and draft rulings, but judgment stays human.40% AI helps
Show the other 4 tasks
TaskAI exposure
Issue subpoenas and administer oaths in preparation for formal hearings. Subpoena forms are templated, but oaths and issuance need human officials.35% AI helps
Conduct hearings to review and decide claims regarding issues, such as social program eligibility, environmental protection, or enforcement of health and safety regulations. Live hearings with testimony are human-led; AI helps with prep and summaries.25% AI helps
Confer with individuals or organizations involved in cases to obtain relevant information. Conferring with parties is interactive and human-led; AI preps questions and notes.25% AI helps
Monitor and direct the activities of trials and hearings to ensure that they are conducted fairly and that courts administer justice while safeguarding the legal rights of all involved parties. Live courtroom management and fairness calls need the judge present.12% Needs a person

See what AI can take on across a legal and compliance team

How administrative law judges compare

All occupations (923)

Legal (7)

Administrative law judges score 54, marked by the dark line. Each dot is a score, darker where more occupations share it. The short marks show the averages, 37 for all occupations and 50 for legal.

Pay and outlook in the US

Median pay
$117,860 a year, May 2025
People employed
16,370 in the US, May 2025
Projected change in jobs
0.0% from 2024 to 2034

Skills to build

  • Draft and revise written opinions in Microsoft Word
  • Apply Administrative Procedure Act evidence rules at hearings
  • Run live hearings and take sworn testimony under oath
  • Check AI-retrieved precedent in Westlaw or LexisNexis
  • Review claim files and records in Adobe Acrobat
  • Confer with parties to frame issues before hearing

Safer roles nearby

5 related occupations with lower scores.

Questions about administrative law judges and AI

Will AI replace administrative law judges?

Partly. About 5 in 10 working hours go to tasks AI can already do, mostly scheduling hearings and reviewing claim records. Decisions, live hearings and final rulings stay with the judge, who signs and is accountable for every outcome.

Which tasks is AI taking over for administrative law judges?

Scheduling hearings and reviewing documents lead the exposure list. Scheduling scores 80 on exposure because hearing calendars are routine and suit software automation. Reviewing claim applications, birth certificates and physician records scores 75, since extracting data from files is a core AI strength. Precedent research scores 70, with the judge checking results.

Which tasks stay human for administrative law judges?

Monitoring trials and hearings for fairness scores 12 on exposure, the lowest on the list, because courtroom management needs the judge present. Conducting hearings to decide claims scores 25 since live testimony is human-led. Conferring with parties also scores 25, because the interaction is human-led and AI prepares questions and notes.

How can administrative law judges stay valuable?

Lead every live hearing and rule on evidence yourself, since the signature carries the accountability. Draft and revise opinions in Microsoft Word, check AI-retrieved precedent in Westlaw or LexisNexis, and use Adobe Acrobat to review claim files before each hearing. Stronger review of AI drafts keeps the judge's name on every decision.

Next steps for administrative law judges

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