Will intelligence analysts be replaced by AI?

Updated

Intelligence analysts score 47 of 100 for AI exposure. The largest share of their task time, 84%, is work AI speeds up while they stay in charge. AI can take over 6% outright, and 10% stays with people.

  • 6% AI can do it
  • 84% AI helps
  • 10% Needs a person
470100

Moderate exposure

Higher than 67% of the 923 occupations we scored.

Task by task

We graded 21 tasks, listed here from most to least exposed. AI can do 1 of them today, speeds up 17 and leaves 3 to people.

TaskAI exposure
Prepare comprehensive written reports, presentations, maps, or charts, based on research, collection, and analysis of intelligence data. AI drafts reports, charts and summaries; analyst reviews and approves.65% AI can do it
Design, use, or maintain databases and software applications, such as geographic information systems (GIS) mapping and artificial intelligence tools. AI coding and admin tools speed database and GIS maintenance.60% AI helps
Validate known intelligence with data from other sources. AI can compare sources and flag conflicts; analyst judges reliability.55% AI helps
Gather, analyze, correlate, or evaluate information from a variety of resources, such as law enforcement databases. AI can search, summarize and correlate records; analyst evaluates results.55% AI helps
Analyze intelligence data to identify patterns and trends in criminal activity. AI can surface patterns and trends; analysts validate and contextualize them.55% AI helps
Study communication code languages or foreign languages to translate intelligence. AI translates foreign text well; code languages still need expert review.55% AI helps
Evaluate records of communications, such as telephone calls, to plot activity and determine the size and location of criminal groups and members. Link and pattern tools can map call records; analyst interprets findings.50% AI helps
Link or chart suspects to criminal organizations or events to determine activities and interrelationships. Software can generate link charts; analyst confirms relationships.50% AI helps
Study the assets of criminal suspects to determine the flow of money from or to targeted groups. AI can trace transactions and summarize financial records; analyst concludes.50% AI helps
Establish criminal profiles to aid in connecting criminal organizations with their members. AI can draft profiles from records; analyst judges relevance.45% AI helps
Show the other 11 tasks
TaskAI exposure
Identify gaps in information. AI can flag missing data against requirements; analyst decides priorities.45% AI helps
Study activities relating to narcotics, money laundering, gangs, auto theft rings, terrorism, or other national security threats. AI can research and summarize threat topics; analyst leads study.40% AI helps
Predict future gang, organized crime, or terrorist activity, using analyses of intelligence data. AI can model trends, but forecasting needs human judgment and accountability.35% AI helps
Gather intelligence information by field observation, confidential information sources, or public records. Public records search is AI-assisted; field and source work stays human.30% AI helps
Conduct presentations of analytic findings. AI can build slides and talking points; live delivery stays human.25% AI helps
Develop defense plans or tactics, using intelligence and other information. AI can suggest options from intelligence; strategy needs human judgment.25% AI helps
Gather and evaluate information, using tools such as aerial photographs, radar equipment, or sensitive radio equipment. Image AI helps imagery review; operating sensor hardware stays manual.25% AI helps
Prepare plans to intercept foreign communications transmissions. Technical collection planning is specialized; AI assists documentation only.20% AI helps
Collaborate with representatives from other government and intelligence organizations to share information or coordinate intelligence activities. Coordination depends on relationships and trust with other agencies.15% Needs a person
Operate cameras, radios, or other surveillance equipment to intercept communications or document activities. Operating surveillance hardware in the field is hands-on physical work.8% Needs a person
Interview, interrogate, or interact with witnesses or crime suspects to collect human intelligence. Live interviews and rapport with people require human presence.5% Needs a person

How intelligence analysts compare

All occupations (923)

Protective service (26)

Intelligence analysts score 47, marked by the dark line. Each dot is a score, darker where more occupations share it. The short marks show the averages, 37 for all occupations and 31 for protective service.

Pay and outlook in the US

Median pay
$93,790 a year, May 2025
Projected change in jobs
+0.2% from 2024 to 2034

Skills to build

  • Write source-graded assessments in Microsoft Word
  • Validate reported facts against multiple records in Microsoft Access
  • Build and maintain GIS layers for threat mapping
  • Analyze criminal activity patterns in Microsoft Excel
  • Deliver live briefings of analytic findings to decision makers
  • Review coded communications and foreign language translations for accuracy

Safer roles nearby

5 related occupations with lower scores.

Questions about intelligence analysts and AI

Will AI replace intelligence analysts?

Partly. About 4 in 10 working hours go to tasks AI can already do, mostly report drafting and database or GIS maintenance. Interviews, surveillance equipment work and partner coordination stay with people because they need a human present.

Which intelligence analyst tasks is AI taking over?

Report writing is the most exposed task, scoring 65, because AI drafts reports, charts and summaries that the analyst then reviews. Database and GIS maintenance scores 60, and pattern analysis and source validation each score 55, since AI can surface trends and flag conflicting sources.

Which intelligence analyst tasks stay human?

Interviewing witnesses and suspects scores 5, the lowest on the list, because rapport and live questioning need a person in the room. Operating surveillance equipment scores 8 and stays hands-on in the field. Partner coordination scores 15 because trust between agencies is built by people.

How can intelligence analysts stay valuable?

Check AI-drafted reports against source records in Microsoft Access and Excel before you sign off. Keep building GIS layers and databases, a task scoring 60, so you are the person who maintains the tools. Practice live briefings, since AI can build the slides but a person still has to present the findings.

Next steps for intelligence analysts

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