Will ophthalmologists be replaced by AI?

Updated

Ophthalmologists score 33 of 100 for AI exposure. The largest share of their task time, 68%, is work AI speeds up while they stay in charge. AI can take over 6% outright, and 26% stays with people.

  • 6% AI can do it
  • 68% AI helps
  • 26% Needs a person
330100

Moderate exposure

Lower than 57% of the 923 occupations we scored.

Task by task

We graded 18 tasks, listed here from most to least exposed. AI can do 1 of them today, speeds up 12 and leaves 5 to people.

TaskAI exposure
Document or evaluate patients' medical histories. Ambient AI scribes can draft histories and notes; clinician reviews.70% AI can do it
Educate patients about maintenance and promotion of healthy vision. AI can draft patient education materials; clinician reviews and delivers them.60% AI helps
Conduct clinical or laboratory-based research in ophthalmology. AI speeds literature review and data analysis; lab work stays manual.55% AI helps
Develop or implement plans and procedures for ophthalmologic services. AI can draft protocols and service plans; leadership decides.45% AI helps
Develop treatment plans based on patients' histories and goals, the nature and severity of disorders, and treatment risks and benefits. AI can lay out options and risks; physician weighs patient goals.45% AI helps
Perform, order, or interpret the results of diagnostic or clinical tests. AI can read imaging and test outputs; clinician performs and confirms.45% AI helps
Prescribe or administer topical or systemic medications to treat ophthalmic conditions and to manage pain. AI can check prescriptions and interactions; drug administration stays physical.35% AI helps
Provide ophthalmic consultation to other medical professionals. AI can draft consult notes; clinician gives the live opinion.35% AI helps
Perform comprehensive examinations of the visual system to determine the nature or extent of ocular disorders. AI aids history and results; hands on testing stays in person.30% AI helps
Refer patients for more specialized treatments when conditions exceed the experience, expertise, or scope of practice of practitioner. AI can flag cases and draft referral letters; physician decides.30% AI helps
Show the other 8 tasks
TaskAI exposure
Prescribe corrective lenses such as glasses or contact lenses. AI can help compute lens powers; refraction is done in person.30% AI helps
Diagnose or treat injuries, disorders, or diseases of the eye and eye structures including the cornea, sclera, conjunctiva, or eyelids. AI can support diagnosis from records; treatment needs in person exams.28% AI helps
Prescribe ophthalmologic treatments or therapies such as chemotherapy, cryotherapy, or low vision therapy. AI can suggest therapy options; delivering treatments stays hands on.25% AI helps
Provide or direct the provision of postoperative care. Wound checks and in person follow up dominate postoperative care.18% Needs a person
Collaborate with multidisciplinary teams of health professionals to provide optimal patient care. Live coordination with staff and teams is interpersonal work.15% Needs a person
Instruct interns, residents, or others in ophthalmologic procedures and techniques. Teaching procedures happens hands on at the bedside and in surgery.10% Needs a person
Perform ophthalmic surgeries such as cataract, glaucoma, refractive, corneal, vitro-retinal, eye muscle, or oculoplastic surgeries. Surgery is hands on work in the operating room.4% Needs a person
Perform laser surgeries to alter, remove, reshape, or replace ocular tissue. Laser procedures need hands on physical operation of equipment.3% Needs a person

How ophthalmologists compare

All occupations (923)

Healthcare practitioners and technical (89)

Ophthalmologists score 33, marked by the dark line. Each dot is a score, darker where more occupations share it. The short marks show the averages, 37 for all occupations and 34 for healthcare practitioners and technical.

Pay and outlook in the US

Median pay
$300,080 a year, May 2025
People employed
8,950 in the US, May 2025
Projected change in jobs
+4.5% from 2024 to 2034

Skills to build

  • Read OCT and fundus imaging outputs in eClinicalWorks EHR software
  • Plan cataract, glaucoma, and refractive surgery in Epic Systems
  • Hold a current ophthalmology board certification from the ABO
  • Teach residents hands on surgical technique in the operating room
  • Run postoperative wound checks and in person follow up visits
  • Review AI-drafted treatment options against patient goals and risks

Safer roles nearby

5 related occupations with lower scores.

Questions about ophthalmologists and AI

Will AI replace ophthalmologists?

Partly. About 3 in 10 working hours for an ophthalmologist go to tasks AI can already do, mostly documenting patients' medical histories and drafting patient education. Surgery, laser procedures, teaching in the operating room and postoperative care stay with the physician, because they need a person working on a patient's eye.

Which ophthalmologist tasks is AI taking over?

History documentation scores 70 on exposure, the highest in the job, because ambient AI scribes can draft histories and notes for the clinician to review. Patient education also scores 60, since AI can draft handouts that the physician checks and delivers. Literature review and data analysis for clinical research, scoring 55, speed up as well.

Which ophthalmologist tasks stay human?

Laser surgery scores 3 and ophthalmic surgery scores 4, the lowest in the job, because both require hands on operation of equipment in the eye. Teaching procedures scores 10, since residents learn technique at the bedside and in surgery. Postoperative care scores 18 because wound checks and in person follow up dominate it.

How can ophthalmologists stay valuable as AI takes on documentation?

Spend the hours AI frees on surgical volume, teaching residents in the operating room, and direct patient contact. Review every AI-drafted history in Epic Systems or eClinicalWorks before signing it. Keep your ABO board certification current, since surgical and diagnostic judgment is what patients and hospitals pay for.

Next steps for ophthalmologists

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